Friday, June 6, 2014

The 2014 Tony Awards: Jeff and Mike's Predictions

This has been one heck of a season.  Lots of really great stuff has been going on on Broadway stages from performances to design elements to direction.  And, while no show really stuck out as superior, not many shows were a complete loss.  I'm guessing that's why some categories are completely full of nominees worthy of winning (the Leading Actress in a Play and Leading Actress in a Musical categories are anybody's guess).  It's also probably why lots of people were left out - Zachary Quinto?  Alex Timbers?  A no Bridges? If/Then? Realistic Joneses? Really?  Ah, the nominations are what they are.  No point in complaining anymore.

My point is that in a season like this, worthy shows and people are bond to be left out.  And even more importantly, it makes guessing the winners all the more challenging.  So, will this be the year that there is a tie in a category or two?  How many drag performances will win this year?  How many upsets will there be?  It is going to be interesting.

Below are Mike and my choices for the 68th Tony Awards.  Mike and I don't see eye-to-eye the most on Best Musical, Featured Actor in a Musical, and Costume Design of a Musical.  Overall, Mike thinks Beautiful, Bridges and A Gentleman's Guide will win 2 Tonys each, and Aladdin and After Midnight will win 1 each.  I'm thinking this will be a year where there will be a little bit of something for everyone: A Gentleman's Guide and Bridges will win 2 each, and Beautiful, Rocky, After Midnight and Bullets will win 1 each. But we both agree that the big winner on Sunday will be Hedwig and the Angry Inch, with Mike predicting 8 Tonys, and me predicting 7.  Or we could be totally wrong!

Will the Best Musical be
A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder?
Or will the Best Musical be
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical?
And will Hedwig and the Angry Inch
be the big winner on Tony night?
We also wanted you to know, we only voted in categories where we saw the majority of the nominees, which means all of the musical categories and a handful of the play categories.  Chiefly, we didn't see A Raisin in the Sun, and concede that we could be totally wrong with our choices in any category marked with "#".  Any time you see "**" means one of us made a comment, which will be below the chart.
JEFF WAS RIGHT
MIKE WAS RIGHT
BEST MUSICAL **
JEFF: WILL WIN: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and MurderSHOULD WIN:A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
MIKE: WILL WIN:Beautiful - The Carole King MusicalSHOULD WIN:After Midnight
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Robert L. Freedman - A Gentleman's Guide to Love and MurderSHOULD WIN:Robert L. Freedman - A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
MIKE: WILL WIN:Robert L. Freedman - A Gentleman's Guide to Love and MurderSHOULD WIN:Robert L. Freedman - A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE (MUSIC AND/OR LYRICS) WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE **
JEFF: WILL WIN: Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of Madison CountySHOULD WIN:Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of
Madison County
MIKE: WILL WIN:Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of Madison CountySHOULD WIN:Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of
Madison County
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
JEFF: WILL WIN: Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of Madison CountySHOULD WIN:Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of Madison County
MIKE: WILL WIN:Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of Madison CountySHOULD WIN:Jason Robert Brown - The Bridges of Madison County
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY #
JEFF: WILL WIN: The Glass MenagerieSHOULD WIN:The Glass Menagerie
MIKE: WILL WIN:A Raisin in the SunSHOULD WIN:The Glass Menagerie
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Hedwig and the Angry Inch
MIKE: WILL WIN:Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Violet
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL **
JEFF: WILL WIN: Neil Patrick Harris - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Neil Patrick Harris - Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
MIKE: WILL WIN:Neil Patrick Harris - Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
SHOULD WIN:Neil Patrick Harris - Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL **
JEFF: WILL WIN: Jessie Mueller - Beautiful: The Carole King MusicalSHOULD WIN:Kelli O'Hara - The Bridges of Madison County
MIKE: WILL WIN:Jessie Mueller - Beautiful: The Carole King MusicalSHOULD WIN:Sutton Foster -
Violet
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY
JEFF: WILL WIN: Mark Rylance -
Twelfth Night
SHOULD WIN:Paul Chahidi -
Twelfth Night
MIKE: WILL WIN:Mark Rylance -
Twelfth Night
SHOULD WIN:Brian J. Smith -
The Glass Menagerie
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY # **
JEFF: WILL WIN: Celia Keenan-Bolger - The Glass MenagerieSHOULD WIN:Celia Keenan-Bolger - The Glass Menagerie
MIKE: WILL WIN:Mare Winningham - Casa ValentinaSHOULD WIN:Celia Keenan-Bolger - The Glass Menagerie
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Nick Cordero -
Bullets Over Broadway
SHOULD WIN:James Monroe Iglehart - Aladdin
MIKE: WILL WIN:James Monroe Iglehart - AladdinSHOULD WIN:Joshua Henry -
Violet
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Lena Hall - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Linda Emond -
Cabaret
MIKE: WILL WIN:Lena Hall - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Lena Hall - Hedwig and the Angry Inch
BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Christopher Barraca - RockySHOULD WIN:Julian Crouch - Hedwig and the Angry Inch
MIKE: WILL WIN:Julian Crouch -Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Julian Crouch - Hedwig and the Angry Inch
BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Arianne Phillips - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:William Ivey Long - Bullets Over Broadway
MIKE: WILL WIN:Linda Cho - A Gentleman's Guide to Love and MurderSHOULD WIN:Arianne Phillips - Hedwig and the Angry Inch
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Kevin Adams - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Kevin Adams - Hedwig and the Angry Inch
MIKE: WILL WIN:Kevin Adams - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Kevin Adams - Hedwig and the Angry Inch
BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Tim O'Heir - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Tim O'Heir - Hedwig and the Angry Inch
MIKE: WILL WIN:Tim O'Heir - Hedwig and the Angry InchSHOULD WIN:Mick Potter -
Les Miserables
BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY #
JEFF: WILL WIN: Kenny Leon - A Raisin in the SunSHOULD WIN:John Tiffany -
The Glass Menagerie
MIKE: WILL WIN:John Tiffany -
The Glass Menagerie
SHOULD WIN:John Tiffany -
The Glass Menagerie
BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
JEFF: WILL WIN: Michael Mayer - Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
SHOULD WIN:Michael Mayer -
Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
MIKE: WILL WIN:Michael Mayer - Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
SHOULD WIN:Michael Mayer -
Hedwig and the
Angry Inch
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
JEFF: WILL WIN: Warren Carlyle -
After Midnight
SHOULD WIN:Casey Nicholaw - Aladdin
MIKE: WILL WIN:Warren Carlyle -
After Midnight
SHOULD WIN:Warren Carlyle -
After Midnight

** Best Musical (Jeff) No matter what show they call on Sunday, I will only be mildly surprised if it is Aladdin.  It could be any of them, really.
** Best Original Score (Mike) A Gentleman's Guide could easily win here, too.
** Best Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical (Jeff) Jefferson Mays might get this one, if by a miracle Tony darling, NPH somehow is forgotten by some voters.
** Best Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical (Jeff) It bears repeating.  This is anyone's guess as to who will win.
** Best Featured Actress in a Play (Jeff) I'd be okay with Mare Winningham getting this one, too.

I am hoping this year's Tonys will be exciting!

Jeff
5.187

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